ND (-3.5) vs UNC: UNC is 0-2 away from home and their D is horrific, which will help mask the deficiencies of this ND offense. The Irish are improving on the defensive side, and have quietly been rolling since the loss to undefeated Cincy. They have pivoted to focus more on running the ball, Kyren Williams is rolling, and the Tar Heels can’t stop a nose bleed. Look for Williams to have a massive day and for ND to roll offensively. The Irish should get enough stops to win this one comfortably. Cash it.
Iowa (ML) @ Wisconsin: But…but…but Iowa lost to Purdue who immediately got trounced by Wisconsin, how could you possibly…hold up a sec, allow me. The Hawkeyes got drunk on their own Kool-Aid and laid an egg against an inferior team, so what? They’re back off the matt and still the same vaunted defense that has made opposing QB’s look silly every other week, and who do they get to see this week? Graham Mertz. Mertz is pathetically bad, even Badger fans know it. If you can contain the run, which Iowa can, he will just give you the ball 3-4 times and Iowa is elite at taking advantage of bad QB play. Hawkeyes roll thanks to Mertz and establish themselves as the Big Ten West fave. Cash it.
Auburn (-2.5) vs Ole Miss: Bo Nix has this Auburn offense rolling and they get one of the worst defenses in the SEC coming to town to continue this run. Nix has had his issues, especially on the road, but he gets to face a terrible defense and at home under the lights he has shined in his career. With Corral clearly compromised and Auburn’s defense much better than Ole Miss’ I see Auburn controlling this one. The win @Arkansas may have me overreacting but I’m loving what the Tigers are doing. In Bo we trust. Cash it.
Kentucky (-2) @ Miss St: Tough road game here for the Wildcats but UK has been underrated all year imo, and Miss St is just not great. Kentucky is built to win these games, with a great defense and a strong running game behind Chris Rodriguez Jr, I think they win a really close battle here. At the end of the day give me the team that gets stops and controls the line of scrimmage in these matchups, and 2 points is too low. The Bulldogs will need more than 70k cowbells to win this one. Kentucky ugly but decisively. Cash it.
W. Virginia (+7) vs Iowa St: Iowa St is coming off of one of the biggest wins in the programs history, a natural let down spot. The Mountaineers are by no means better than Iowa St, but this is a trap game and WV is always frisky at home. This is purely a bet on the hangover from the Cyclones and in the end I think they win the game late but 7 points is a lot to cover on the road after that kind of win. Hungry dogs run faster, especially at home. Cash it.
UCLA (+6.5) @ Utah: DTR looks like he’s going to play for the Bruins, and off a tough loss to a great Oregon team I see no reason to think they take a beating from the Utes. Going to Utah is one of the more difficult trips in college football, but this UCLA offense is electric and they are battling for the Pac-12 South. Utah is getting love based on who they’ve historically been, a defensive juggernaut, but the 2021 defense is porous and I expect DTR and company to tear right through em. Sprinkle the UCLA ML but love the 6.5. Cash it.
Wake (-16.5) vs Duke: Duke is terrible. Their last two road games they were beaten by 48 and 31 and now they get undefeated white hot Wake Forest. The only trepidation here is Wake’s defense, but Duke only put up 7 total points in those two games against really bad UNC and UVA defenses, so I’m not concerned. This is truly a shit-pumping in the making as Wake has one of the most explosive offenses in the ACC. It’s alot of points but the Demon Deacons should be covering by halftime. Cash it.