CFB Week 5 Card:
Record: 8-3 (+5u)
Arkansas +18.5 (1.1u): This is as disrespectful of a line as I’ve ever seen. Arkansas has two outright
wins over ranked teams as an underdog, both by double digits. They have an explosive offense, a
defense that flies around and Sam Pittman, who clearly has changed the culture to embody the blue
collar nature of the state of Arkansas. Georgia’s best win? 10-3 over Clemson, who might not even be the 3rd best team in the ACC. This will be a dog fight, an incredible game and will be the easiest win of the weekend. Georgia wins late but Arkansas is a legitimate top-10 team. 18.5 is absurd. Cash it.
Texas -5 (1.1u): Too many people on TCU. Texas was dismissed too early after a loss to Arkansas, how
does that look now? Texas is a top-25 team and will put up 40+ on this pathetic TCU defense. I don’t love road favorites but Texas is getting ignored all because they lost to a top-10 team on the road. Love Bijan Robinson, Thompson is the guy and Sarkisian has things rolling. Cash it.
Kentucky +8.5 (1.1u): Florida is going to get everything Kentucky has, similar to Alabama heading to the
Swamp a couple of weeks ago. Great teams win this game but to expect Florida to waltz in there and win
a game like this by 9 or more is asking a lot. Kentucky’s D is solid enough, and they have one of the best
rushing attacks in the SEC led by Chris Rodriguez Jr. I love home dogs, and especially when it’s a
chance for a team like Kentucky to make a statement. Sprinkle the ML if you’re feeling frisky but 8.5?
Oklahoma St -3.5 (1.1u): This is tough one but I think the Cowboys are better on D and better in the
trenches. Both teams can run the ball, Baylor especially, but the Cowboys have been very effective in
stopping the run. If they can force Baylor into 3 rd and longs I don’t like Bohannon’s ability to make big
plays. They are also getting a lot of love from last week, when largely the game was won on a kickoff
return. Not buying Baylor. Cash it.
Kansas St +10.5 (1.1u): Purely a bet against an overvalued Oklahoma. They barely beat Tulane,
Nebraska and W. Virginia at home. K-State is better than all of them it it’s on the road. The line has
moved heavily towards Oklahoma, so you might be able to get 12.5 on this. Oklahoma does not deserve
to be in the top-10 and should be on upset alert. Another huge home dog. Cash it.
Rutgers +15 (1.1u): I’m riding home dogs this year and here’s another one. They played Michigan very
tough and covered easily last week. Ohio State’s D is still a problem, and when you can’t get stops it’s
hard to win by 3 TD’s. Schiano clearly has something going in Jersey and this is a chance to get them on
the map. Not the same old Rutgers we’re used to seeing get steamrolled. Cash it.